FC La Libertad vs Juventud Copalera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
75.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2184%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
9º
9º
18
13º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 31 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 31 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 27 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 24 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
18 | 18 |
17º
|
92.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
92.5% | |
|
19º
|
11 | 11 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
7 | 8 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC La Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VEN
2 - 1
FCL
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 57 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
5 - 2
IZT
11%
17%
72%
|
12 | 58 | 46 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 0
COA
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 55 | 45 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PFC
0 - 3
FCL
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud Copalera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DJC
0 - 0
COA
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 1
DJC
8%
14%
78%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DJC
2 - 2
SPD
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 2
DJC
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
DJC
0 - 0
LEO
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |