Kremin II vs UCSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
53.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
13º
14º
15º
62
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 34.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 65.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kremin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
5 - 0
FKK
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 0
KAR
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 1
FKK
12%
16%
72%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKK
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 5
NYV
14%
20%
66%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
UCSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
UCS
1 - 1
FCL
84%
10%
6%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 3
UCS
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UCS
3 - 1
NYV
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UCS
3 - 0
SST
16%
21%
62%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RUT
0 - 2
UCS
14%
18%
68%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |