Kremin II vs PFK Zvyagel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
13º
14º
15º
61
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 22% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 78% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kremin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 2
MET
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 2
RPH
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
UCS
8 - 1
FKK
5%
11%
85%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | -4 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 3
CHA
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
HSP
3 - 1
FKK
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
PFK Zvyagel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 0
FCL
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 9 | 52 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
0 - 1
OBO
26%
22%
52%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 0
UCS
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 21 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 1
78%
16%
7%
|
62 | 21 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NYV
4 - 7
FCZ
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |