Kremin II vs Druzhba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
13º
14º
15º
62
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 43.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 56.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kremin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
FCZ
2 - 0
FKK
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HSP
2 - 2
FKK
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
FKK
68%
16%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RPH
2 - 1
FKK
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 1
UCS
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Druzhba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FCD
3 - 1
FCL
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
NYV
2 - 1
FCD
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FCD
2 - 3
FNB
9%
15%
76%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
POL
4 - 2
FCD
67%
18%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
FED
1 - 3
FCD
74%
16%
11%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |