Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 2-3
FC Koper vs Shakhter Karagandy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
NKN
2 - 1
FCK
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FCK
1 - 0
CEL
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCK
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
FCK
2 - 1
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GOR
0 - 0
FCK
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
SHA
2 - 2
ORD
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
TAR
0 - 1
SHA
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
SHA
2 - 0
TOB
45%
27%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 0
FCA
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
ZHE
1 - 0
SHA
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |