FC Koper vs Primorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
1º
2º
2º
3
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
3 | 62 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
3 | 59 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 53 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 51 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 48 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
1º
|
3 | 45 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
28% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
25.5% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
34.5% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
36.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
FCK
2 - 1
BRA
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
FCK
3 - 1
ZEL
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
ZEL
1 - 1
FCK
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
ČUK
1 - 0
FCK
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
BRI
1 - 0
FCK
26%
23%
51%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
NKP
3 - 2
DOM
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
NKP
1 - 1
DZG
22%
22%
57%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
IST
3 - 1
NKP
60%
22%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
RIJ
2 - 1
NKP
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
NKP
0 - 4
PET
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |