FC Koper vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
6º
5º
79
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 4
FCK
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 2
ROG
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
FCK
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 2
FCK
22%
25%
52%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 1
RAD
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
CEL
43%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 1
CEL
37%
26%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 1
ROG
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEL
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |