Natters vs SC Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
21.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
16º
12º
30
5º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Natters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 1
EBB
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SCM
4 - 2
FCK
70%
15%
14%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 1
KIR
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 2
FCK
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
SVI
0 - 2
FCK
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SC Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
6 - 1
SCM
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SCM
2 - 0
IAC
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +3 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCM
2 - 3
UNI
20%
18%
62%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
EBB
3 - 0
SCM
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SCM
2 - 3
SCM
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |