Natters vs Mils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
42.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Natters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
KIR
2 - 0
FCK
79%
12%
9%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
FCK
1 - 3
KEM
24%
20%
56%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
FUG
2 - 1
FCK
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FCK
0 - 1
SVI
36%
21%
43%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
WAT
5 - 1
FCK
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SCM
5 - 1
SVZ
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
MOT
6 - 1
SCM
34%
21%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
SCM
1 - 4
EBB
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 2
SCM
15%
17%
68%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
SCM
2 - 2
VOL
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |