Kobenhavn vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
5º
2º
36
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 3
FCK
17%
21%
62%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
LYN
0 - 2
FCK
16%
21%
64%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 2
SON
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
VKP
3 - 3
FCK
42%
23%
35%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 5
FCK
25%
23%
52%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 1
MID
30%
25%
46%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 2
AGF
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MID
4 - 0
AGF
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 3
AGF
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SSF
0 - 9
AGF
3%
9%
88%
|
81 | 9 | 72 | 0 |