Kobenhavn vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
4º
3º
36
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
BYM
0 - 0
FCK
89%
8%
3%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
VFF
2 - 1
FCK
22%
23%
55%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 0
BIF
57%
23%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
FCK
4 - 3
MUD
9%
19%
73%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RAN
2 - 4
FCK
15%
21%
64%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FCN
0 - 0
AGF
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AGF
2 - 0
VFF
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
BIF
1 - 1
AGF
55%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
IIF
0 - 4
AGF
11%
17%
72%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
AGF
2 - 1
RAN
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |