Kobenhavn vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
11º
2º
35
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MID
2 - 1
FCK
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 0
SEV
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OBK
2 - 1
FCK
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
BVB
3 - 0
FCK
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 0
SIF
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AGF
3 - 1
AAB
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SIF
1 - 0
AGF
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
AGF
2 - 3
FCN
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
VAT
0 - 8
AGF
4%
10%
86%
|
74 | 28 | 46 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 1
AGF
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |