Kobenhavn vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AAB
1 - 1
FCK
27%
27%
47%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
FCN
2 - 3
FCK
40%
26%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCK
1 - 1
OBK
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
SIF
1 - 0
FCK
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
MID
2 - 2
FCK
34%
26%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AGF
0 - 0
ACH
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
SIF
3 - 1
AGF
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
AGF
0 - 1
ESB
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
BIF
3 - 2
AGF
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FCN
4 - 2
AGF
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |