Kevitan vs Luzi 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
45.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kevitan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SHK
3 - 0
KEV
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
KEV
0 - 0
ALB
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VOR
5 - 0
KEV
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
VEL
3 - 0
KEV
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
KEV
1 - 6
PTI
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Luzi 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LUZ
2 - 0
SHK
16%
23%
61%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 0
LUZ
48%
26%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
VOR
5 - 2
LUZ
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
LUZ
2 - 0
VEL
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PTI
1 - 1
LUZ
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |