Kerzers vs Dürrenast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerzers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BER
2 - 1
FCK
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FCK
0 - 2
FAR
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BUL
2 - 0
FCK
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
FCK
0 - 4
FCS
60%
21%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LAU
6 - 3
FCK
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 2
GUM
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 2
LYS
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BER
2 - 2
DUR
59%
22%
20%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
DUR
4 - 0
FAR
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BUL
4 - 1
DUR
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |