FC Kapaz vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
10º
7º
31
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 1
FCK
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 0
TUR
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
QAR
3 - 1
FCK
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 0
SEB
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 2
FCK
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SUM
2 - 3
FKQ
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 0
SUM
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 4
FKN
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 3
SUM
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 6
QAR
21%
26%
54%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |