FC Kapaz vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
10º
9º
89
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
SUM
3 - 0
FCK
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 0
FKN
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
FKN
1 - 0
FCK
62%
21%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2025 |
ZIR
2 - 0
FCK
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 1
SHA
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 3
QAR
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
SUM
0 - 2
QAR
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
QAR
3 - 1
SEB
56%
21%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
QAR
1 - 1
SFK
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
FKN
0 - 1
QAR
43%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |