FC Kapaz vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
68.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
10º
7º
50
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
NPA
0 - 0
FCK
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MTK
0 - 1
FCK
79%
14%
8%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
ZIR
2 - 2
FCK
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 2
FCK
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 2
SFK
11%
23%
66%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
TEP
2 - 1
FKQ
32%
24%
44%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 3
FKQ
6%
13%
81%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 0
TUR
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 0
QAR
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
QAR
1 - 0
FKQ
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |