FC Kapaz vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
57.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
10º
9º
56
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 1
FCK
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 3
FKN
18%
26%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 1
FCK
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 3
SFK
15%
24%
62%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
SUM
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
ZEL
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
ZEL
2 - 2
FKN
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 0
FKN
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FKN
0 - 1
FEN
21%
23%
55%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FKN
0 - 4
CRV
31%
25%
45%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |