Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 1-0
FC Kapaz vs Dacia Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2016 |
FCK
0 - 1
FKQ
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ZIR
2 - 2
FCK
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
FCK
1 - 2
FKN
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
KHA
0 - 3
FCK
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FCK
3 - 2
REV
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dacia Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
DAC
0 - 1
SHF
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
DAC
1 - 1
SHF
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 2
DAC
31%
30%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 0
DAC
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 0
DAC
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |