FC Juárez vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
QRO
1 - 0
JUA
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 0
JUA
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
JUA
2 - 3
TIG
25%
28%
46%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
JUA
2 - 1
AUR
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
JUA
0 - 1
CAZ
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
AME
35%
24%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
TOL
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
MON
39%
25%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
TOL
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TOL
4 - 4
PUE
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |