Apertura Ascenso MX Semi-finals
Global 5-4
FC Juárez vs Tampico Madero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
TAM
2 - 2
JUA
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
JUA
1 - 0
MER
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
MER
0 - 2
JUA
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
JUA
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
JUA
1 - 2
CAF
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tampico Madero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
TAM
2 - 2
JUA
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
TAM
3 - 1
ZAC
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TAM
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CAF
0 - 1
TAM
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TAM
3 - 2
MUR
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |