Apertura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
FC Juárez vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
MER
0 - 2
JUA
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
JUA
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
JUA
1 - 2
CAF
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
JUA
30%
28%
43%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
JUA
2 - 2
CIM
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
MER
0 - 2
JUA
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CIM
1 - 1
MER
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
UAP
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MER
3 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
UAT
0 - 2
MER
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |