FC Järfälla vs Kvarnsveden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
12º
3º
5
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Järfälla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCJ
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SKI
0 - 3
FCJ
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCJ
1 - 5
KUN
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCJ
1 - 1
KAL
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 2
FCJ
10%
15%
75%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Kvarnsveden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KVA
0 - 8
ENS
7%
14%
79%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HUD
8 - 1
KVA
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KVA
0 - 6
VIK
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KVA
0 - 2
KUN
25%
22%
54%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SKI
12 - 0
KVA
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |