FC Järfälla vs Karlberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
12º
3º
56
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 83% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Järfälla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 2
FCJ
10%
15%
75%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCJ
1 - 2
GUT
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
FCJ
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCJ
5 - 1
OST
48%
23%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 3
FCJ
19%
19%
62%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 0
FCA
79%
14%
8%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
KAL
4 - 1
VIK
87%
9%
4%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KVA
0 - 3
KAL
9%
16%
75%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 0
HUD
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 3
KAL
17%
20%
64%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |