FC Järfälla vs IFK Österåker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
9º
2º
4
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 56 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 53 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 49 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 49 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 44 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 40 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 29 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 15 |
13º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 12 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 89.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Järfälla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
VIK
1 - 0
FCJ
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
IFF
1 - 3
FCJ
13%
17%
70%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FCJ
3 - 1
SKI
64%
19%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
GUT
1 - 1
FCJ
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VIK
2 - 0
FCJ
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
IFK Österåker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
OST
0 - 1
FRA
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FBS
2 - 0
OST
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
NAI
3 - 1
OST
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
OST
0 - 1
KUN
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SKI
3 - 1
OST
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |