Kazakhstani Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-7
FC Irtysh Pavlodar vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Irtysh Pavlodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KAI
2 - 1
FCI
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FCI
1 - 2
ORD
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCI
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FCI
0 - 2
OKZ
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
AST
3 - 0
FCI
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 2
AST
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
APO
2 - 1
AST
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AST
1 - 4
KAI
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
BAT
2 - 2
AST
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AST
2 - 0
ORD
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |