Inter Nouakchott vs Garde Nationale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter Nouakchott
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
AST
0 - 1
IDN
18%
21%
61%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
IDN
1 - 4
ALH
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KFC
1 - 0
IDN
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
SNI
1 - 2
IDN
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 1
GDN
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Garde Nationale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GDN
0 - 2
ACD
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SNI
1 - 0
GDN
41%
28%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GDN
0 - 1
KSA
55%
24%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
KFC
2 - 3
GDN
51%
26%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 1
GDN
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |