Inter Nouakchott vs Garde Nationale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
10º
10º
31
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter Nouakchott
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SNI
0 - 0
IDN
49%
24%
28%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
IDN
2 - 1
CON
38%
22%
39%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
IDN
1 - 0
SNI
43%
25%
33%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ARM
2 - 1
IDN
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
POL
2 - 0
IDN
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Garde Nationale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GDN
0 - 1
TEV
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
KSA
0 - 2
GDN
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
GDN
1 - 2
ARM
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
TID
1 - 1
GDN
48%
26%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
GDN
1 - 2
KSA
62%
21%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |