Ingolstadt 04 vs VfB Oldenburg analysis

Ingolstadt 04 VfB Oldenburg
57 ELO 54
-4.7% Tilt 12.6%
844º General ELO ranking 2591º
43º Country ELO ranking 108º
ELO win probability
54.8%
Ingolstadt 04
24.2%
Draw
20.9%
VfB Oldenburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
Ingolstadt 04
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.9%
Win probability
VfB Oldenburg
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ingolstadt 04
-8%
+11%
VfB Oldenburg

Points and table prediction

Ingolstadt 04
Their league position
VfB Oldenburg
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
14º
11º
35
20º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Elversberg
74
74
100%
Freiburg II
73
73
100%
VfL Osnabrück
70
70
100%
Wehen Wiesbaden
70
70
100%
1. FC Saarbrücken
69
69
100%
Dynamo Dresden
69
69
100%
Waldhof Mannheim
60
60
100%
1860 München
57
57
100%
Viktoria Köln
55
55
100%
Verl
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Ingolstadt 04
11º
47
47
11º
100%
MSV Duisburg
12º
46
46
12º
100%
B. Dortmund II
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Erzgebirge Aue
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Rot-Weiss Essen
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Hallescher FC
16º
41
41
16º
100%
SV Meppen
17º
37
37
17º
100%
VfB Oldenburg
18º
35
35
18º
0%
Zwickau
19º
35
35
19º
0%
Bayreuth SpVgg
20º
32
32
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ingolstadt 04
VfB Oldenburg
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Ingolstadt 04
VfB Oldenburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ingolstadt 04
Ingolstadt 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2023
MEP
SV Meppen
0 - 3
Ingolstadt 04
ING
36%
25%
40%
57 53 4 0
03 Apr. 2023
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 3
1860 München
MUN
24%
25%
51%
59 66 7 -2
26 Mar. 2023
ZWI
Zwickau
2 - 0
Ingolstadt 04
ING
30%
25%
45%
59 55 4 0
20 Mar. 2023
ING
Ingolstadt 04
2 - 3
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
24%
27%
49%
60 69 9 -1
15 Mar. 2023
WAL
Waldhof Mannheim
3 - 2
Ingolstadt 04
ING
54%
24%
22%
61 67 6 -1

Matches

VfB Oldenburg
VfB Oldenburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2023
VFB
VfB Oldenburg
1 - 2
Wehen Wiesbaden
WEH
14%
20%
66%
52 67 15 0
01 Apr. 2023
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 0
VfB Oldenburg
VFB
60%
22%
18%
53 60 7 -1
25 Mar. 2023
VFB
VfB Oldenburg
1 - 3
Viktoria Köln
VIK
25%
24%
51%
54 63 9 -1
18 Mar. 2023
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 2
VfB Oldenburg
VFB
50%
24%
26%
53 54 1 +1
15 Mar. 2023
VFB
VfB Oldenburg
2 - 1
B. Dortmund II
BOR
39%
25%
37%
53 57 4 0