Ingolstadt 04 vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FSV
0 - 2
ING
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ING
0 - 0
STP
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
ING
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 0
ING
61%
22%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ING
1 - 2
ERZ
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 2
EBT
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
BOC
4 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 1
HER
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
MSV
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 0
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |