Ingolstadt 04 vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
KAI
0 - 0
ING
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
ING
1 - 0
KSC
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ING
6 - 1
SGS
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2016 |
VFR
1 - 1
ING
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ING
0 - 1
LEV
20%
24%
57%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
KOL
0 - 1
M05
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
M05
2 - 0
BRU
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SDL
3 - 0
M05
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
M05
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
M05
0 - 0
STU
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |