Ingolstadt 04 vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
49.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UNT
2 - 1
ING
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ING
2 - 1
WAL
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ING
1 - 1
ULM
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
EMP
0 - 0
ING
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
ING
3 - 1
VFR
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 2
SGF
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ULM
1 - 2
KAI
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 0
MUN
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
F95
0 - 1
KAI
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
OFC
1 - 3
KAI
10%
16%
75%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |