Ingolstadt 04 vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
FCN
0 - 7
ING
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
S04
3 - 0
ING
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ING
1 - 2
F95
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
STP
4 - 1
ING
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ING
0 - 3
BRE
17%
22%
61%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 0
SIF
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 2
ROS
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 2
HOL
50%
23%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 3
HAN
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
KSC
2 - 2
HOL
32%
26%
43%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |