Ingolstadt 04 vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
F95
3 - 0
ING
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ING
1 - 1
FCN
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ING
2 - 2
ARB
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
HEI
1 - 2
ING
41%
28%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ING
4 - 2
SGD
44%
26%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
HOL
1 - 3
FCN
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SGD
0 - 4
HOL
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HOL
0 - 0
DAR
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 1
HOL
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
HOL
3 - 2
FCU
36%
23%
40%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |