Ingolstadt 04 vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
ING
1 - 2
FCN
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HSV
1 - 1
ING
55%
25%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ING
26%
28%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ING
0 - 1
BRE
27%
23%
50%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
ING
0 - 1
TOR
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
SCF
45%
26%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SSV
1 - 1
HER
15%
22%
63%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HER
1 - 4
NAP
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HER
3 - 2
AJA
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
BIF
3 - 1
HER
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |