Ingolstadt 04 vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
F95
0 - 0
ING
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
ING
3 - 0
BOC
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STP
0 - 0
ING
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
ING
0 - 1
FSV
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
FCU
1 - 1
ING
55%
24%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
STP
2 - 2
SGF
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
SGF
4 - 1
F95
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
SGD
1 - 1
SGF
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SGF
1 - 1
FCU
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
BOC
0 - 2
SGF
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |