Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 1
ING
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ING
1 - 2
STP
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
FSV
0 - 2
ING
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FSV
4 - 1
ING
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ING
0 - 1
FCU
33%
26%
42%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
F95
2 - 1
SGF
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
F95
0 - 0
FSV
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
STP
1 - 1
F95
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
F95
1 - 1
SGD
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
ARB
4 - 2
F95
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |