Ingolstadt 04 vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis

Ingolstadt 04 Erzgebirge Aue
64 ELO 58
-10.4% Tilt 5.8%
844º General ELO ranking 1260º
43º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
50.1%
Ingolstadt 04
25.7%
Draw
24.2%
Erzgebirge Aue

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
Ingolstadt 04
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.2%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ingolstadt 04
-8%
-6%
Erzgebirge Aue

Points and table prediction

Ingolstadt 04
Their league position
Erzgebirge Aue
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
14º
11º
45
20º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Elversberg
74
74
100%
Freiburg II
73
73
100%
VfL Osnabrück
70
70
100%
Wehen Wiesbaden
70
70
100%
1. FC Saarbrücken
69
69
100%
Dynamo Dresden
69
69
100%
Waldhof Mannheim
60
60
100%
1860 München
57
57
100%
Viktoria Köln
55
55
100%
Verl
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Ingolstadt 04
11º
47
47
11º
100%
MSV Duisburg
12º
46
46
12º
100%
B. Dortmund II
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Erzgebirge Aue
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Rot-Weiss Essen
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Hallescher FC
16º
41
41
16º
100%
SV Meppen
17º
37
37
17º
100%
VfB Oldenburg
18º
35
35
18º
0%
Zwickau
19º
35
35
19º
0%
Bayreuth SpVgg
20º
32
32
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ingolstadt 04
Erzgebirge Aue
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ingolstadt 04
Erzgebirge Aue
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ingolstadt 04
Ingolstadt 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2022
HEI
Heidenheim
1 - 0
Ingolstadt 04
ING
63%
20%
17%
65 75 10 0
15 Dec. 2022
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 3
Greuther Fürth
SGF
27%
24%
48%
65 70 5 0
12 Nov. 2022
MSV
MSV Duisburg
0 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
31%
26%
43%
64 59 5 +1
08 Nov. 2022
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 0
Hallescher FC
HAL
41%
27%
33%
64 60 4 0
05 Nov. 2022
VER
Verl
2 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
35%
26%
40%
64 60 4 0

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2023
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
3 - 1
Energie Cottbus
COT
50%
23%
27%
58 53 5 0
07 Jan. 2023
FCN
Nürnberg
3 - 3
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
69%
18%
13%
58 69 11 0
05 Jan. 2023
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
5 - 1
VfB Oldenburg
VFB
47%
24%
29%
58 55 3 0
14 Dec. 2022
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
3 - 1
VFC Plauen
PLA
78%
15%
8%
57 35 22 +1
11 Dec. 2022
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 0
Hallescher FC
HAL
33%
23%
44%
57 59 2 0