Ingolstadt 04 vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ING
3 - 1
WIN
28%
23%
49%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 0
ING
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ING
0 - 3
S04
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
F95
3 - 0
ING
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ING
1 - 3
STP
20%
24%
57%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
ERZ
0 - 3
KSC
23%
25%
53%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ERZ
1 - 0
SSV
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
PAD
3 - 3
ERZ
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
F95
3 - 1
ERZ
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
ERZ
2 - 3
HOL
18%
22%
59%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |