Ingolstadt 04 vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MAG
1 - 1
ING
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
PAD
2 - 1
ING
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ING
1 - 1
SGF
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SSV
2 - 1
ING
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
ING
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
KOL
3 - 1
ERZ
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ERZ
1 - 3
M05
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ERZ
0 - 0
MAG
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
FCU
1 - 0
ERZ
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ERZ
1 - 0
S04
11%
19%
70%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |