Ingolstadt 04 vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 1
ING
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
ING
4 - 1
VFR
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SVS
0 - 3
ING
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ING
2 - 0
SGF
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
OFC
0 - 0
ING
23%
26%
51%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
ERZ
3 - 0
STP
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DAR
2 - 0
ERZ
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ERZ
0 - 3
F95
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
RBL
1 - 0
ERZ
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CZJ
0 - 1
ERZ
23%
24%
54%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |