Ingolstadt 04 vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ING
3 - 0
S04
27%
26%
48%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
ING
59%
25%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ING
3 - 3
STU
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
EIN
1 - 1
ING
61%
22%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ING
1 - 1
KOL
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MON
5 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
ARB
79%
14%
6%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
S04
2 - 1
MON
32%
26%
43%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MON
3 - 0
EIN
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WOL
2 - 1
MON
41%
25%
35%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |