Ingolstadt 04 vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BYM
2 - 0
ING
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ING
1 - 1
HOF
29%
25%
47%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
HAN
4 - 0
ING
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ING
3 - 1
DAR
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
HEI
2 - 4
ING
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
UNT
1 - 3
LEV
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LEV
5 - 0
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
LEV
1 - 1
FCB
8%
14%
78%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
LEV
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LEV
1 - 1
S04
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |