Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ING
1 - 1
MSV
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
BOC
0 - 1
ING
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ING
4 - 0
PAD
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SGD
0 - 0
ING
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ING
3 - 3
FCU
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
AAA
0 - 1
SGD
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
FSV
2 - 1
AAA
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
AAA
1 - 3
FCU
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
SGF
1 - 0
AAA
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AAA
0 - 3
PAD
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |