Igea Virtus vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
2 - 0
FCI
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
FCI
2 - 0
ACI
64%
22%
14%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FCI
0 - 0
USV
61%
24%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCC
4 - 0
FCI
61%
24%
15%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FCI
2 - 2
BRI
15%
23%
63%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 0
SIR
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SIR
0 - 0
GEL
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ASM
3 - 0
SIR
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SIR
2 - 3
JUS
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
USV
1 - 3
SIR
11%
20%
70%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | -1 |