Igea Virtus vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
USC
0 - 1
FCI
23%
21%
57%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FCI
3 - 0
DTO
88%
9%
3%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 1
FCI
34%
25%
40%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FCI
0 - 1
SIC
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
POM
2 - 2
FCI
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
4 - 2
ASS
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAV
2 - 3
ROC
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 0
SAR
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 2
NFR
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GEL
2 - 1
ROC
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |