Igea Virtus vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+200%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
VIT
1 - 1
FCI
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
FCI
3 - 2
ASA
38%
26%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
COS
1 - 1
FCI
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
GAL
3 - 1
FCI
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
FCI
3 - 1
RIE
33%
25%
41%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
NOC
0 - 2
ASC
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
GAL
2 - 0
NOC
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
NOC
1 - 0
LAT
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
VIG
0 - 0
NOC
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
NOC
3 - 3
TAR
47%
28%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |