Igea Virtus vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
FCI
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 1
FCI
46%
24%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
AEE
0 - 3
FCI
46%
22%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 3
FCI
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
FCI
30%
23%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MES
0 - 3
BAR
10%
23%
67%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
CIT
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 1
FCI
46%
24%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ISO
1 - 8
MES
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MES
5 - 0
PPI
91%
7%
2%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |