Igea Virtus vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 1
FCI
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 2
ASD
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CCI
2 - 4
FCI
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 0
ACI
68%
18%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
FCI
19%
20%
60%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
USV
2 - 0
MES
57%
25%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
MES
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MES
2 - 1
ROC
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 0
MES
27%
27%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MES
5 - 0
GEL
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |